In the currently performed scheduled game around the hypothetical scenario of a threatening asteroid impact, it has now been found that the Fictitious Sky Corkper will hit the Czech border area to Germany and Austria. Defense maps in all goods not possible.
This shows the publications for "Planetary Defense Conference Exercise", from which we also show that we were inadequately prepared for such a scenario. Thus, in such a short preparation time, as in the exercise, no room probe could be started to distract or destroy the asteroids in good time. The exercise is finished on Thursday.
No time for asteroid defense
This-year-old schedule game is the fun that is carried out as part of the two-yearly organized planetary defense conference. This will be organized by the United Nations Buro of the United Nations for Space Questions (Unoosa) in Vienna, but virtually takes place because of the Corona Pandemic. At the beginning of the exercise, the participants and participants only knew that this-year asteroid in the scenario on 19. April was discovered and could take a probability of 1 to 2500 in mid-October on earth. In the course of the first day of exercise, the probability was increased to 5 percent. There was still a penalty in a huge area that included two-thirds of the earth’s surface. Participants attended space agencies such as ESA and NASA as well as disaster assistant.
As evidenced by the publications on the exercise, the place of hypothetical impact was limited in the further course of the planned game: first after a fictitious week in an area, which ranged from Scandinavia over Central Europe to Egypt. At the same time, the probability rose that the hypothetical impact was made to 100 percent. The coarse of the hypothetical sky corpers still could not be given more precisely than to 35 to 700 meters. Options were no longer at this time, there are no room probes, which are made ready and sent to the asteroids in good time. Should it give it, but only time for a probe that could try to break the asteroids with an atomic bomb.
In the meantime, it looked like this.
Four months before the hypothetical impact, the scenario has then turned out that the impact in the middle of Central Europe was done, on the 20th. October. Depending on where exactly, people could not survive that in a huge area, on average, an impact at this time was about half a million people. Should the hypothetical asteroid go down the northwestern edge of the fictitious impact zone – in near Hanover – even a maximum of 6.6 million people were affected. In the planned game that is the level of the end of June, so four months before the fictitious impact.
Differences between the number of in section and the maximum affected people, depending on still unknown data of the asteroid and the actual footing site.
With better technology already discovered earlier
To complete the planned game and in the frame on the 14. October – six days before the impact – could be limited to a small area in the Czech Republic. Meanwhile, it is therefore clear that the fictional asteroid has a coarse of about 105 meters, ie significantly smaller than initially stirred but about five times as coarse as the meteorite of Chelyabinsk. In an area of several dozen kilometers diameter, which also includes parts of Germany and Austria, the fictitious impact on people can not survive. What the Ubendend starts with it will now show. In the scenario, it still means that a sensitive device for the search for dangerous asteroids had discovered the fictitious sky corpers almost certainly at his last flight in 2014. The preparation time was then much long ago.