The energy and climate weekend: a fingered nuclear dispute, a missing strike of the climate researchers and a pretty warm winter oolympiad
It is already remarkable: far and wide is not a new AKW in construction and also not in planning. The ongoing Meiler, which just cover a now quite scarce quarter of electricity needs, are mostly pretty eligible, not a single one who has not at least 21 years running on the hump. Nevertheless, the whole energy debate of the black-yellow coalition seems to be only to turn this outgoing technology, as do not give it more important questions, for example those around the expansion of the networks.
The motive for these inappropriate versus is now also well known: The things are for their operators who have little to lose a final insurance of accident risks, pure money printing machines. Up to 200 billion euros could bring you a deflection of the term to additional gains.
But you do not talk about money. And so that no one else comes to the idea of asking uncomfortable questions associated with the Schnode Mammon, the Federal Government is already organizing a show fight of a special kind: Environmental Federal Minister of Norbert Rottgen Mimt the most prudent, he wants to restrict a relay of the maturities. "If we have 40 percent renewable (energies), no room is after the coalition agreement for nuclear energy", Already quoted him two weeks ago. He therefore piles an exit until 2030. Then the youngest AKW is already running more than 40 years.
That’s remarkable, because after all, the minister had made the head of the division of reactor safety in his house almost three months ago. Hennenhofer had already worked under Angela Merkel in the Ministry and, among other things, enforced the further operation of the Morsleben repository. In the meantime he worked at E.On, where, for example, he wrote reports against the so-called atomic consensus, which he had negotiated until 1998 himself. The preparatory work for the exit law will definitely go to the reign of the last black yellow coalition under Helmut Kohl Back.
Rottgens Personnel Policy shows that he is by no means the nuclear critic than that the excited scream from Union and FDP appear. He has always emphasized that he is intended for the coalition to tilt the statutory exit from nuclear power use. Not even the Old Meilern Neckarwestheim I (since 1976 in operation) and Biblis A (since 1974 in operation) he has clearly uplured, which actually had to be taken from the network in the next few months, if operator and government at the letters of the law want to hold. Your residual electricity gaps will be used up before the coalition can change the laws in autumn.
Exit 2020 possible
Meanwhile, on Saturday, the boss of the Federal Environment Agency, Jochen Flassbarth called in conversation with the SZ 2020 as the year in which the margin mentioned by Rottgen can be achieved. Then Konne 40 percent of the electricity of wind CO. be provided, making the expansion of renewable fully in the schedule of nuclear phase-out. Flasbarth, allude to the argument of the Bruck technology: "We believe that the Brucke, just as it is now set up, leads exactly into the field of renewable energy."
The Federal Association of Renewable Energies (BEE) had attributed Federal Chancellor Angela Merkel in January 2009 by study that already 2020 the share of renewable energy operators on the power supply could be up to 47 percent. At the beginning of February, the Bee has once again developed this position and requires reliable framework conditions for the expansion of environmentally friendly energy supply. This judge, so the bee, "In addition to the legally agreed nuclear phase-out (also) the holding at the Renewable Energy Service Act (EEG) with its unrestricted priority for renewable energies."
The current maneuvering scenario for the expansion of the renewable is based on the fact that the share of renewables at the electricity sector will be around 20 percent and over the total final energy consumption. After the BEE is included, this value is to be used to take place, unless the clean energy carriers are not put in the way.
Now it is happy to argue that sun and wind are unconscious candidates, which is why the AKWS had to stand as a replacement. Two things will look over. On the one hand, biogas is also one of the renewable energy carriers, and its power is well controllable and could, intelligent organization aming, which is not self-resistant to the previous ratios in the network, playing well the luckbuber. On the other hand, AKWs are far too difficult to compensate for the fluctuations in wind energy. They are designed to run around the clock for this way and are therefore all the more enclosure to the renewable, the gross their share.
Research strike?
Why strike climate researchers not even, asks the physicist Jorg Rings, who managed hydrogeophysics. There are hundreds of scientists a lot, a rough amount of unpaid work to give overview of the status of the scientific discussion and the secured findings in the reports of the IPCC, and then you want them almost lynches, because on 2.800 pages two bugs were found. Round Council: The climate scientists should refuse to work on the preparation of the next report, as long as an international agency is created for climate research, which is equipped with the necessary resources for science communication.
A similar proposal was briefly made Eduardo Zerita from the research center in Geesthacht near Hamburg in a contribution for the science magazine nature. Zerita hovers a staff of 200 scientists. In Nature, various climate researchers had uplifted to the future of the IPCC. So far, the IPCC is a circle of recently about 450 main cars, which write the individual chapters of the three reports of each working group. Only ten employees dedicated to the technical pages of the work. The World Meteorology Organization WMO has given you a few rooms at your headquarters in Geneva.
A pair of climate scientists from Germany, the US and some other countries have broken down in a joint contribution to the media campaign directed against the IPCC, whose German translation will find itself on the knowledge slog maintained by spectrum of science.
The authors are on the individual premieges of recent weeks. Your quintessence: There is actually just a real mistake that with the Himalayas glaciers (sloppiness in the last IPCC report). The problem has been that the authors of the working group 2, ocons, geographers, energy experts and others who have dealt with the consequences of climate change did not get involved in the results of the glacier professionals. The obedience of climate researchers and thus to working group 1 and have written in the part report of this working group a comprehensive chapter on the state and development tendencies of the glaciers all over the world.
If you can argue about whether you can make the IPCC authors – again those from working group 2 – a charge if you take the wrong information of a Dutch government organization on the shares of your country under sea level. The other premieges, such as those on the Amazon or North Africa, spent every foundation. All in all, it is so that various media were trying to praise the openity a scandal.
To the latter of the Economic and Director of the Earth Institute of the Columbia University of New York City, Jeffrey Sachs, Last week has an interesting contribution to the Guardian. In it he draws the connection between old campaigns against scientific work that occupied the pollinality of smoking, and the current against climate research. It is the same anti-science spirit, the same methods and partly also the same staff.
Warm Olympics
And finally, a look at the Olympics to clarify the difference between weather and climate: climate is if the middle daily temperature over 30 years is averaged in a place in a place. It can then come out for a place for Vancouver that the temperature actually only rarely falls below zero degrees. In the statistical resort, it is in Vancouver, as the solid line in the upper part of the graphic, in February around 5 degrees Celsius warm. What the organizers have thought of holding the Olympic Winter Games in such a place is another question. But now yes, in the mountains, the climate is certainly clearly cold, and there maybe there was no problems when the weather had played.
Picture Noaa
But it does not do it. Weather is namely if the real temperature deviates from the climate size – that’s the normal case, because the atmosphere is now a high variable thing. And special bad luck is when this deviation is not shown in the direction of the awkward minus degrees, but in the direction contrary. As you can see the middle part of the graphics, that’s pretty long the case. The third part of the graphic returns the measured values of the daily maximum and minimum temperatures. It can be seen that in the last few days in Vancouver has given at least at night frost.
(Local) climate change is it if over a long-way period (significantly over ten years), the deviations up and down no longer keep the balance (the long time of a meaningful statistical statement for a trend of a trend of the Potsdam climate shaft Stefan Rahmstorf of the Ofteren written in his blog in spectrum of science, last on the 17th. February). It depends a bit on which average is the speech. It can certainly happen that at the overall year-in temperature does not change much, but move seasons, for example winter warm and summer a little kuhler. But that’s more hypothetical.
In Vancouver, the average annual temperature has shown quite clearly upwards since the 1970s. Quantities of adjacent rural stations like Blaine show the same trend. Maybe you have thought of yourself in Vancouver, we’ll pick up the winter Olympiad here quickly until it does not work anymore.